Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.005400 0.005707 0.006024 0.006378 0.006762 0.007167 0.007627
2025-12-07 0.004818 0.005257 0.005733 0.006291 0.006928 0.007638 0.008495
2025-12-14 0.004490 0.005006 0.005582 0.006279 0.007106 0.008065 0.009275
2025-12-21 0.004132 0.004678 0.005301 0.006073 0.007016 0.008144 0.009615
2025-12-28 0.003957 0.004542 0.005226 0.006092 0.007179 0.008516 0.010323
2026-01-04 0.003837 0.004461 0.005203 0.006165 0.007400 0.008965 0.011150
2026-01-11 0.003676 0.004319 0.005095 0.006118 0.007461 0.009202 0.011704
2026-01-18 0.003550 0.004211 0.005020 0.006106 0.007557 0.009485 0.012334
2026-01-25 0.003418 0.004089 0.004920 0.006052 0.007592 0.009679 0.012845
2026-02-01 0.003373 0.004073 0.004954 0.006172 0.007865 0.010214 0.013890
2026-02-08 0.003273 0.003981 0.004883 0.006147 0.007931 0.010457 0.014511
2026-02-15 0.003193 0.003912 0.004838 0.006153 0.008039 0.010764 0.015249
2026-02-22 0.003078 0.003793 0.004723 0.006057 0.007998 0.010850 0.015648
2026-03-01 0.002975 0.003688 0.004622 0.005977 0.007975 0.010958 0.016092
2026-03-08 0.002904 0.003622 0.004572 0.005966 0.008051 0.011223 0.016817
2026-03-15 0.002774 0.003473 0.004402 0.005775 0.007846 0.011032 0.016734
2026-03-22 0.002724 0.003430 0.004377 0.005793 0.007959 0.011352 0.017581
2026-03-29 0.002693 0.003412 0.004386 0.005860 0.008150 0.011810 0.018719
2026-04-05 0.002627 0.003345 0.004323 0.005817 0.008165 0.011974 0.019322
2026-04-12 0.002576 0.003294 0.004282 0.005805 0.008228 0.012222 0.020106
2026-04-19 0.002515 0.003230 0.004219 0.005755 0.008225 0.012356 0.020676
2026-04-26 0.002505 0.003237 0.004260 0.005867 0.008493 0.012979 0.022306
2026-05-03 0.002457 0.003187 0.004215 0.005843 0.008533 0.013196 0.023108